Over the past month, Will Vogt and I have unveiled an entire “bracket,” modeled off the 68-team format used during college basketball’s final tournament, to provide a short preview of 64 “forgotten” conflicts across the world. In each “regional”—Middle East & Europe; Africa; Latin America; and Asia-Pacific—conflicts are ranked 1-16, roughly based on our (albeit subjective) projections of which to keep an eye out for over the coming year. Lower ranks (i.e., closer to 1) are, in our opinion, at higher risk of escalating tensions/violence before the end of 2013.
For the Middle East & Europe regional, check out the bracket and descriptions here. Headlining this section are: (1) Iraq; (2) Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (Yemen); (3) Ansar al-Sharia (North Africa); (4) Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (North Africa); and (5) the Kurdish insurgency in Iraq.
For the Africa regional, view the bracket and descriptions here. Headlining this section are: (1) Boko Haram and Ansaru (northern Nigeria); (2) Mali; (3) eastern DRC; (4) the SPLM-North insurgency (Sudan); and (5) Somalia.
For the Latin America regional, check out Will’s bracket and descriptions here. Headlining this section are: (1) Mexico; (2) violence in Central America; (3) FARC (Colombia); (4) Argentina’s debt crisis; and (5) Ecuador-Colombia tensions.
For the Asia-Pacific regional, view the bracket and descriptions here. Headlining this section are: (1) the Pakistani Taliban; (2) religious violence in Burma; (3) anti-Hazara violence in Pakistan; (4) the Kachin insurgency in Burma; and (5) growing tensions in Bangladesh.
And for the finale, check out the full bracket, with all 64 conflicts, here! (or click below)
If you are ambitious, feel free to fill out the bracket yourself—with your own projections of which conflicts we might expect to worsen in the next year. Then, a year from now—coinciding with the 2014 NCAA college basketball tournament next March—we will unveil the “winners” of each pairing, reflecting events of the period March 2013-March 2014!